The
slump isn't just hurting business; it's also making it hard for
contractors, suppliers, and others to borrow against their homes
Keith
Sutton has been building homes in Cleveland since 1991 and was selling
20 houses a year at the top of the boom. Today he’s sitting on 50 lots
he can’t get rid of and is $3.5 million in debt, including close to
$1 million he’s already defaulted on. “I couldn’t have anticipated in
2006 that it was going to last well into 2011 and beyond,” he says. “I
thought it was going to be a blip.” Sutton has just two workers now,
down from 13 before the bust, and he hasn’t sold a house in a year.
“I’m barely hanging on,” he says.
The housing market’s persistent woes weigh doubly on small business.
Industries such as construction and real estate are dominated by small
companies, and many entrepreneurs borrow against their homes to finance
their businesses. That means small business, which accounts for half of
private nonfarm gross domestic product and 65 percent of job growth, is
unlikely to recover before the housing industry rebounds. “The recent
decline in housing prices is significant enough to be a real constraint
on small business finances,” researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of
Cleveland concluded in a December report.
Entrepreneurs whose houses have lost value are less likely to invest
savings in their businesses, and it’s harder for them to raise money by
mortgaging their homes, says Denny Dennis, senior research fellow at
the National Federation of Independent Business. The group says
94 percent of small employers own their homes, and a quarter of owners
of small companies borrow against their houses for business purposes,
according to market data provider Barlow Research Associates. The
Cleveland Fed estimates that business owners have lost $7.9 billion in
available home equity credit in the housing bust. “Their capacity to
borrow is really constrained,” Dennis says.
About one-sixth of the nation’s private employers are small
companies in housing-related industries, including homebuilders, real
estate agents, architects, and furniture suppliers, Census data show.
Although the construction industry has often led the way out of
previous recessions, few small housing-related companies have gotten
much of a lift from the current recovery. “This time the only growth
driver, if we’re having one, is export industries,” Dennis says.
While manufacturers and tech companies can tap into growing markets
abroad, plumbers and plasterers are bound to their local economies.
Sales at small homebuilders and specialty contractors such as roofers
and electricians have declined each year since 2007, according to data
from financial software maker Sageworks. Home prices ticked up in the
second half of 2009, but they now match the recession’s May 2009 low,
according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index of 20 cities.
Dave Penniman, who runs a six-employee painting business in San
Ramon, Calif., estimates that he is $125,000 underwater on the house he
bought in 2004. Having no cushion of equity in his home makes him wary
of excessive risk in his business. “You definitely can’t take on really
big jobs that you would like to,” he says. “You just don’t want to roll
the dice.”
Even at the high end of the housing market, the recovery is halting.
Late in 2008, Brian Lazarus was installing custom wood furniture and
interiors at a five-building home compound under construction in
western Massachusetts when the owner, a Wall Street executive, landed
on the job site in a helicopter. With three suitcases full of cash, he
paid all the contractors for the work they had done so far and sent
everyone home. “Then they literally boarded the compound up,” Lazarus
recalls. Work resumed early this year, only to be suspended again in
the spring. Lazarus says the project manager told him: “We thought the
economy was going to pick back up, and it’s obviously not.”
The bottom line:
Small companies tied to housing make up one-sixth of private employers,
and they’re unlikely to recover until the housing market does.
Tozzi covers small business for Businessweek.com.